KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect roughly flat earnings for the first quarter, putting the seven-quarter streak of growth in jeopardy The picture seems quite a bit better when looking beyond the first quarter, which we see as a trough in growth. We expect enough economic growth...
April brings showers, baseball, and historically, the best month of the year for the S&P 500 Index (for the last 20 years). On top of that, the S&P 500 had its best first quarter since 1998, and in March we celebrated the 10-year anniversary of the current...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We’ve picked our Final Four, or factors, to watch in this leg of the economic expansion. The Fed’s patience is appropriate in guiding the U.S. economy through late-cycle volatility A rebound in global conditions, capital expenditures, and sentiment may...
The NCAA Final Four is set. On the men’s side, Auburn, Michigan State, Texas Tech, and Virginia are headed to Minneapolis to determine this year’s college basketball national champion. On the women’s side, UConn and Oregon punched their tickets over the weekend while...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We are readjusting our recommended domestic equity allocations back to market weight. Following the stock market’s recent move higher, coupled with a slightly weaker economic and corporate profit outlook, the risk-reward trade-off in stocks has become...