KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect slightly positive earnings growth in the second quarter, with substantial drag from falling technology sector earnings. The big question for investors this quarter is how much tariff costs are reflected in analysts’ earnings estimates. We...
KEY TAKEAWAYS The S&P 500 delivered its best first-half performance since 1997, raising questions about what that strong start may mean for the second half. Stocks’ track record after the strongest first-half rallies is mixed but points to modest gains ahead. We...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We believe the economic and earnings environment will support the potential for additional gains for stocks over the second half of 2019. Better than expected earnings may be a positive stock market catalyst while historical patterns forecast the...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks have benefited recently from increasing hopes of a Fed rate cut, although investors probably won’t get one this week. Stocks’ historical performance after initial Fed rate cuts has been mostly positive, but it has been greatly dependent on the...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Policy uncertainty remains high, particularly around trade. While it is good news that an agreement was reached with Mexico over the weekend to avoid those tariffs, a trade deal with China is unlikely until more economic pain is incurred by both China...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Worrisome signals from the bond market contributed to stocks’ first monthly decline of 2019. While we expect rates to end the year solidly above current levels, until we get some good news on the trade front, rates are likely to remain stubbornly low. If...
