KEY TAKEAWAYS We would recommend tilting equity allocations slightly toward value because of the duration and magnitude of the growth rally, but we recognize growth may get a boost from the Fed. Small cap underperformance experienced over the past year may continue as...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We are maintaining our year-end fair value S&P 500 target of 3,000 even though the index is very close to that level. The Fed tailwind is at the market’s back, making further stock market gains a realistic possibility. We expect the ride to...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We expect slightly positive earnings growth in the second quarter, with substantial drag from falling technology sector earnings. The big question for investors this quarter is how much tariff costs are reflected in analysts’ earnings estimates. We...
KEY TAKEAWAYS The S&P 500 delivered its best first-half performance since 1997, raising questions about what that strong start may mean for the second half. Stocks’ track record after the strongest first-half rallies is mixed but points to modest gains ahead. We...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We believe the economic and earnings environment will support the potential for additional gains for stocks over the second half of 2019. Better than expected earnings may be a positive stock market catalyst while historical patterns forecast the...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Stocks have benefited recently from increasing hopes of a Fed rate cut, although investors probably won’t get one this week. Stocks’ historical performance after initial Fed rate cuts has been mostly positive, but it has been greatly dependent on the...
