April brings showers, baseball, and historically, the best month of the year for the S&P 500 Index (for the last 20 years). On top of that, the S&P 500 had its best first quarter since 1998, and in March we celebrated the 10-year anniversary of the current...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We’ve picked our Final Four, or factors, to watch in this leg of the economic expansion. The Fed’s patience is appropriate in guiding the U.S. economy through late-cycle volatility A rebound in global conditions, capital expenditures, and sentiment may...
The NCAA Final Four is set. On the men’s side, Auburn, Michigan State, Texas Tech, and Virginia are headed to Minneapolis to determine this year’s college basketball national champion. On the women’s side, UConn and Oregon punched their tickets over the weekend while...
KEY TAKEAWAYS We are readjusting our recommended domestic equity allocations back to market weight. Following the stock market’s recent move higher, coupled with a slightly weaker economic and corporate profit outlook, the risk-reward trade-off in stocks has become...
KEY TAKEAWAYS Last week, the 10-year Treasury yield fell below the 3-month yield for the first time since 2007. Long-term yields have been suppressed by the Fed’s patient stance and international demand. We expect solid fundamentals to push the 10-year yield back...
COMPASS CHANGES No changes. INVESTMENT TAKEAWAYS Expectations for solid but slower growth in the U.S. economy and corporate profits support our year-end 2019 fair value target for the S&P 500 of 3000.* We maintain our slight preference for value due to attractive...
