Dear Valued Investor: The world continues its battle to contain the COVID-19 pandemic, which now has likely impacted, either directly or indirectly, nearly every person on Earth. This is far more than just a health crisis—this is a human crisis. Its fearful wake will...
Last week, we revised our economic and market forecasts as the war against the COVID-19 pandemic wages on. We are likely in recession now, though we won’t know that for sure until more timely data is released. What is clear, however, is stocks have priced in a...
Dear Valued Investor: Our everyday lives have changed dramatically over the last few weeks as we work together to minimize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We know these efforts are necessary, but they also have come at a cost. Global economic growth has been...
Stocks Stall, Yields Fall Amid Economic Mixed Signals U.S. economy sends mixed signals. Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 2% in the second quarter. Consumer spending added 3 percentage points to overall growth, while trade and inventories were a 1.6 percentage point...
Corporate earnings growth has ground to a halt, but we think better times lie ahead. While tariffs and ongoing trade uncertainty could delay improvement, we remain optimistic that some progress on trade will be forthcoming and earnings growth could pick up over the...
ECONOMY: ECONOMIC DATA IMPROVES IN SEPTEMBER Economic data improved modestly in September as the U.S. economy stayed resilient against trade uncertainty. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) was unchanged month over month in August after a strong July...
